Calgary vs Dallas

• I personally do not want to play this early game today and will be waiting until 7pm. 
• In terms of offensive and defensive play, Dallas comes into today top 8 in the league in goals per game averaging 3.4 while coming in second in the league in terms of goals against per game at 2.58. 
• After losing 7 in a row, Calgary has now won 5 of their last 6 and have scored 3 or more goals in each of the 7 games. 
• These two teams usually don’t play high scoring games, Calgary has been very streaky this season, and this is their first meeting against each other this season.
• Jake Oettinger should start today for Dallas but he did not play well against Calgary last season in two starts. THe difference is that this is not the same Calgary team he’s faced in the past and this is their first meeting this season. 
• For me, this game is nothing more than an alt line parlay buffer by playing the game total 3.5. If you want to pay the odds up and play 4.5 you can but its a stretch. This game to me says 3-2/4-2 final but I’m not confident enough to want to be on the pre game over
• My personal lean is that this game is a complete coin flip today. Calgary has been a frustrating team to figure out this season and are falling in the category of the SAbres in terms of when to play them and when to play against them. I’ll learn more by watching this matchup without a play on it for their next meetings and the playoffs than I would by forcing a side on this game. Patience is tough to have when you want to make bets and play every game but when teams in the offense make as many drastic changes as Calgary did, it will take some time to reevaluate who they are long term. Be patient on this game and watch it to learn.

Ottawa vs Colorado:

• Colorado has been dealing with injuries lately. I was called crazy for thinking Colorado would not be good this year and telling everything they will be a middle of the pack team but here we are.
• Colorado now sits 6th in the division, 11th in the conference, and are averaging less than 3 goals per game which is almost a full goal less than their offensive average last season during their Cup year. 
• Coming off losses in 7 of their last 8 games, a matchup with Ottawa should help get Colorado back on track at least offensively. 
• Alex Georgiev has played very well this season and with Colorado’s recent play being what it is, the line today is set under 200 with Colorado ranging from -170 to -190. I feel this is a bit of a “steal.” In any other given time, Colorado would come in as a -270 or higher favorite against Ottawa, especially at home. Colorado’s ML here is a round robin/parlay piece you can use. In terms of laying juice, i would rather lay -200 on Colorado’s alt total of 3 and most likely will be.
• I expect this to be a game that Colorado wins in the 5-3 / 5-2 type range. 

Columbus vs Detroit:

• I am going to be attacking this game offensively knowing that it could be a complete dud. When you have two bad teams playing, executing is the problem. This game should be a wide open game with two teams who are bad defensively. Columbus is averaging almost 4 goals against per game against a capable Detroit offense. Columbus’ offense has been improving over the season, albeit they’re nothing to be focusing on, but they’re filled with stars going against a bad Detroit defense and goalie with Ville Husso.
• Detroit is in the same boat. Their offensive has the ability to put up goals on a struggling Columbus defense with Korpisalo in net. I expect each team to be fine with COlumbus leading the way. I expect at MINIMUM this to be a 4-2 win for Columbus with the potential of a 5-4 type game. 

Montreal vs New York:

• The Isles are reeling right now losing 4 in a row and they do not play Montreal well historically. 
• The Isles are bottom 10 in the league in scoring and Ilya Sorokin has been a bit off since Igor Shesterkin invited him over for Christmas dinner and polluted him. Just Kidding obviously. THe Isles need today’s game and it’s tough to say a game right now is a must win for a team, but today is a must win for the Isles. It’s a must win in terms of confidence, a must win in terms of cohesiveness, and a must win in terms of everything. The isles have scored more than two goals once in the past 7 games and you will never be able to win playing this anemic. 
• I expect the Isles to come out as if this is the opening game of a playoff series back at the old barn. Fast, hard hitting, and determined to get right. THe ML here is an option in a parlay/round robin piece and I want to try and get their team total at 2.5 or 3. I am not willing to secure my alt line parlay around it but if you are doing multiple ones today they can be included. 

Philly vs Washington:

• We played this matchup a few nights ago and pushed the alt line. Philly came out and took it to Washington at home before giving up a late third goal to help us push. 
• I like Washington’s chances here tonight to rebound, especially at home. I would approach tonight’s game the same as I would as last and still consider Washington to win and their total.
• Carter Hart is having a great year so I am attacking Washington’s offense based on the lack of defense I am expecting from Philly as opposed to who’s in net. We may be cutting it close but I’m expecting a 4-2 type Washington win tonight.

Pitt vs Carolina:

• Pitt on the road in a back to back against Carolina is going to be a no play for me. I expect a tight defensive matchup and if I’m wrong we can jump on the over live. I expect a few goals in the game but also expect high variance possibilities in this one. With Pitt only putting up 1 goal at home against David Rittich last night, I am proceeding with caution. We’ve had too many ups and downs with this team this season to force a play against a Carolina team that I slated as my potential cup winner pre-season. Kris Letang and Marcus Pettersson are out again tonight and I don’t expect Pitt to do much. I lean Carolina for the win with Carolina putting up 3+ tonight. 

Toronto vs Boston:

• Auston Matthews is a game time decision, but even if he plays, I don’t like what he would bring.
• You have two powerhouse rivals fighting for this division with the Leafs best player nowhere near 100%. I like Boston here tonight and the line is cheap enough to play it without exposing too much risk. The team total option of 3 is in play, if you only have 3.5 I think you’re better off not playing it pregame and waiting to hit it live at 3 or lower. I could see this game being a 3-1 / 3-2 game with the EN possibility to cash it. 

Vancouver vs FLorida:

• This should be a very favorable offensive matchup for the Panthers. 
• Vancouver had a nice little stretch winning 3 in a row but they’ve fallen back since beating Seattle, Edmonton, and San Jose. 
• Vancouver is in disarray right now. THeir ownership and management are a complete disaster, their own players don’t want to be there, and now there’s scrutiny going around the team on how they handled Tanner Pearson’s injury.
• As long as Florida doesn’t allow themselves to get caught, this should be a very high scoring game. I’ve spoken all season about how low I think of the Panthers and their actual worth but a matchup against Vancouver should be the matchup where Florida’s offense benefits us. I will be looking at the game over, the Florida total, and the Florida ML. Vancouver should be able to contribute their share with Bobrovsky in net so this could be a potential ladder game. 

Minnesota vs Arizona:

• Minnesota is fully healthy and at home against an Arizona team they dominate over the years. 
• Play the trend here as Minnesota is the dominant team. I will be parlaying their alt total as well as their ML. I don’t usually like betting against Arizona as bad as they are because I don’t like slow grinding teams, but the numbers over the time of this matchup can handle an individual loss if Minnesota blows it tonight. Since the lines are juice the way they are anyway we won’t have too much exposure units wise. 
• Fleury in net makes the matchup more favorable so I will just be keeping an eye on who’s starting.

Buffalo vs Nashville:

• THe numbers don’t line up here for the matchup but I’m making a gut call. This game says it should favor Buffalo history wise and be low scoring for Nashville but I’m anticipating the opposite tonight. I expect Buffalo to struggle as they haven’t looked good the past few games against Seattle and Philly and are heading into Nashville who is coming off a bad loss to Montreal and a game they should have won against a Toronto team without Auston Matthews. 
• I think Nashville comes out fast and strong and Juuse Saros puts up a good defensive game. I expect Nashville to put up 4 tonight while holding Buffalo to 2 or less. I will be using Nash team total today and their ML is a round robin potential.