Good morning,
I really regret not posting the Rangers +850 last night. The power play to make the game 5-4 and Igor getting pulled happened too fast for me to be able to do it. It would have been really nice to cash that on that horrific turnover in overtime. I hope everyone enjoyed watching that game and I apologize for not getting the Brock Nelson props out sooner. I hope I’m not wrong to think we are getting back on track and everyone is profiting this month. If you disagree please feel free to leave comments on the article. Today is President’s Day so games are scattered all day. I am going to do a bullet pointed article for the games because it is such a staggered slate started so early.
Anaheim vs. Buffalo:
- Previous three matchups have gone over, and two of the last three have gone well over with 9 and 10 goals total.
- I don’t like Anaheim’s offense or trust them enough to rely on them for a game total.
- Trevor Zegras is out for Anaheim.
- Buffalo has been playing better hockey as of late. Even in their losses, they’re limited the opposing offense.
- I would love to start the day off with a game at 12:30, but our momentum is positive right now and I do not wish to risk a loss on these two teams.
- Buffalo should win, but neither team here is strong enough to rely on what should be. Buffalo’s line at -190 makes them unplayable for me.
Boston vs. Dallas:
- I am staying far away from this game.
- Boston has won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Out of conference matchup with both teams coming off a loss. Boston is coming off four straight losses.
- This game should be a hard fought ground out game and I don’t feel there is enough of an edge.
Toronto vs. St. Louis
- John Tavares may be back, but Morgan Reilly is out. Toronto didn’t need either of them to cash out 3u play on their total against Anaheim.
- Auston Matthews has hat tricks in back to back games, so I would like to splash his goal totals here just to be on it and potentially a part of history of three hat tricks in a row.
- Toronto should be a -200 favorite, but the line is low to them being on the road. I plan on going back to their team total and their money line in this one.
- Toronto is much faster and better offensively built. St. Louis is averaging over three goals against per game.
Vancouver vs. Minnesota:
- I am very happy we stayed off the Minnesota/Buffalo game on Saturday with it ending in a 3-2 Buffalo win.
- I am staying off this matchup as well.
- I can’t trust Minnesota and don’t like Vancouver here on the road.
Detroit vs. Seattle:
- I have loved playing the over in this matchup and it’s cashed in all five of their matchups. I will be playing it again tomorrow but I am playing it knowing it could be the first time we lose.
- In 9 out of 10 matchups between these two, especially with Alex Lyon and Joey Daccord in net, the over would be a ladder. Both teams are also healthy.
- This line opened at 6 -125 but could go up to 6.5. Get it in as soon as possible at 5.5.
Edmonton vs. Arizona
- Arizona has lost 9 in a row and Matt Villalta will be making his NHL debut for the Coyotes.
- I will be playing Edmonton possibly two ways. This article was finished at 2am and team totals and alt lines are not out yet. I expect Edmonton’s total to be 4 so I need to see the juice on 3.5 before posting.
- Edmonton has scored four or more in 8 of the past 9 against Arizona.
Winnipeg vs. Calgary
- Calgary winning the last two matchups paired with Winnipeg being on the road most likely brings the ML down to the -125 price it is.
- I wrote in the last article about Winnipeg’s scoring troubles but I was right on them getting back on track against Vancouver.
- If we can get Winnipeg at 2.5 we will be max betting it. If we are at 3 we may play it a little less depending on the line.
- Winnipeg is still a top team in the league and Calgary should be trending downwards. It will take the books a bit of time to catch up to Calgary and it should work in our favor.
Ottawa vs. Tampa Bay:
- The over rightfully opens up at 7. This game should see goals and lots of them.
- I will be splashing the over of 6.5 not expecting to get 6 at a decent price. I trend to not play 6.5 totals for too much. At 6.5, if both teams aren’t able to put up their half of the goals (3) it means the winning team needs to put up at least 5 (5-2).
- Tampa Bay should be able to pull their weight and get to four. My concern here is what to expect from Ottawa if Vasilevskiy starts.
- Vas numbers are up and down against Ottawa but his struggles date back to 2018.
- Depending on what the Lightning’s team total is will depend on how I approach this game.
Chicago vs. Carolina:
- Like Toronto vs Anaheim on Saturday, I am making this play and dying on the hill.
- Carolina should run Chicago out of the building, but they have only scored three goals in back to back 3-0 shutout wins dating back to 2022.
- Carolina should dominate this game and with Chicago coming off a win against Ottawa on Saturday I like their odds of getting severely outplayed today.
