Week 12 DFS (GPP – Main)

Top game stacks





Justin Herbert (LA Chargers – $7,000/$7,900)

Herbert is coming off of his third highest scoring game of the season and his highest since Week 2. This correlates with having a better arsenal of WRs at his disposal. He lost Mike Williams in this matchup, but Joshua Palmer showed he can fill those shoes just fine. The main target that makes this offense hum is Keenan Allen, who appears to escape this game with no set backs at all. The Cardinals give up the fifth most fantasy points per game to opposing QBs while giving up the fifth most passing yards and the second most passing TDs.

Geno Smith (Seattle Seahawks – $6,000/$7,600)

Geno is coming off of a bye and gets the awful Raiders defense at home in Week 12. The Raiders are giving up the third most fantasy points to opposing QBs so far this season. Before his bye, Geno Smith has scored 19.08, 20.8 and 19.2 fantasy points in his last three games. The Raiders offense also matches up well against the Seahawks defense to push towards the over in this game, with the Seahawks struggling to stop opposing teams RBs and WR1s. The Raiders are above league average at those positions, with Josh Jacobs and Devante Adams. 

Honorable Mention: Tua Tagovailoa (MIA), Derek Carr (LV)

Value Play

Kyle Allen (Houston Texans – $4,800/$6,100)

Allen is priced as a backup on both sites because the Texans announced after the slate dropped that they will be switching to Kyle Allen. In Allen’s first start, he will go up against the Miami Dolphins, who are giving up the second most fantasy points to opposing QBs. I do offer a slight hesitation because this is inflated because of them giving up the second most rushing yards to opposing QBs, which as we know inflates that number quickly and Kyle Allen isn’t a running QB. The Dolphins are in the middle third of the NFL in passing yards against and have given up the 11th most passing TDs to opposing QBs. This matchup is good enough to me to perhaps load up on skilled position players and get 3x+ out of my QB. This is a great way to stack the Texans and Dolphins game while being able to afford players like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. 


Rachaad White (Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $5,100/$6,400)

The Buccaneers visit the Cleveland Browns on Sunday in what is projected to be a rainy and windy game. This bodes well for RBs just through weather, but the Cleveland Browns are awful at stopping the run these days. In the Bucs’ last game, White was the starter and took 22 carries, which resulted in 105 scoreless yards. I’m not sure if it is because White scored only 10.5 full PPR points and had no targets or the threat of Leonard Fournette, but White will go overlooked in DFS this week. The Bucs’ offensive coordinator, Byron Leftwich, said  White has taken the step forward and the reason he didn’t take this sort of workload in the beginning of the season was because they didn’t feel he was ready. They feel he is there now. I think this sets up White nicely to take 60%+ of the offensive snaps against a poor rush defense. And, he’ll get increased usage and chances of short dump off passes from Brady. 

Kenneth Walker (Seattle Seahawks – $6,900/$8,400)

As I mentioned with Geno, Walker is coming off of a bye and a few down weeks on the ground before that. Nothing fixes a rushing slump more than a great matchup after some rest and Walker has just that. With fresh legs and an awful Las Vegas defense, Walker is primed for a great day. Sporting one of the best offensive lines in the game, Walker has had at least 18 carries in his first four games as the Seahawks starting RB before only having 10 last week. Last week, however, he saw eight targets, catching six of them for 55 receiving yards, proving he can be an every down back and a threat in the air. I think he’s in line for a massive workload of 20+ carries and 5+ targets in this juicy matchup at home against the Raiders, a team giving up the fourth most PPR points per game to opposing backs. 

James Conner (Arizona Cardinals – $6,600/$7,000)

The Arizona Cardinals offensive line isn’t in the best of shape but this matchup is too juicy to pass up. Hitting extreme touchdown regression, James Conner has scored only four times this year, as opposed to 18 times last year. The Chargers are giving up the most yards per attempt to opposing backs, the fifth most rushing TDs, and the third most overall full PPR points per game. The Cardinals should be getting Kyler Murray back for this matchup, but I like them just as much with Colt McCoy. Kliff Kingsbury is coaching for his job the last half of this season and after getting blown out by his division rival, the San Francisco 49ers, he needs a good offensive performance. I think he leans on Conner and he turns the corner in this one.

Josh Jacobs (Las Vegas Raiders – $7,700/$8,700)

Jacobs is on a tear this year and has seen 73.6% of the team’s offensive snaps while also taking 82.4% of the teams rushing attempts from RBs. The volume is there and he will face off against the Seattle Seahawks this week who are giving up the fifth most PPR points per game to opposing RBs. They are middle of the pack when stopping backs on the ground but they are getting beat consistently in the air, having given up the sixth most receptions per game to opposing backs and the fourth most receiving yards. This will bode well for Jacobs, as the Raiders will be 3.5-point underdogs and sport the second highest game total of the slate. 

Jeff Wilson Jr. (Miami Dolphins – $5,900/$7,700)

Jeff Wilson has played 28 (49.1%) and 42 (60.9%) of snaps since coming over to the Miami Dolphins at the trade deadline. Over those two weeks he has run the ball 26 times for 170 rushing yards while seeing eight targets, catching five of them for another 45 yards. He has a TD in each of those two games as well and has totaled 38.5 PPR points. This week he gets to face the worst run defense in the NFL, the Houston Texans. To top it all off, the Dolphins are 14-point favorites and are coming off of their bye week. Wilson should smash if he maintains his 60% snap share in the backfield and handles 15-20 touches again. The only cause for concern is he is priced up properly on Fanduel and, mixed with his ownership, you can make a solid argument to fade him. I’m going to be riding with the talent and matchup, though. 

Honorable Mention: D’Onta Foreman (CAR), Michael Carter (NYJ)

Value Play

Trayveon Williams (Cincinnati Bengals – $4,000/$4,700)

I’m not a major fan of this play but it is a pure volume play. Williams came in and replaced Mixon’s ground work when he went down against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Mixon is going to miss this game and I expect this to be a committee backfield with Perine playing about half of the snaps. That leaves roughly 40-50% of the snaps for Williams against a good run defense. The Bengals are going to run the ball against a brick wall even if they aren’t having success, so I do think Williams sees 10-12+ touches in this game. All it takes is for him to get 40 yards, a catch or two and fall in the endzone for his salary to pay off. 


Tyreek Hill (Miami Dolphins – $8,800/$9,200)

It’s easy to keep it short and sweet here. His volume is elite and he’s one of the best WRs in the NFL. The Texans have their points scored against suppressed because they are that bad at stopping the run but I think Hill will get his all in this game. They have the worst DVOA in the NFL when stopping opposing WR1s. Giving Mike McDaniel an extra week to prepare for an opponent seems like cheating and Hill is going to be unleashed in this matchup. You can start Waddle as well if you want the cost savings because the Texans aren’t much better against WR2s.

Terry McLaurin (Washington Commanders – $5,800/$7,500)

I am playing McLaurin with the understanding that Taylor Heinicke is going to continue to quarterback the Washington Commanders. In every game since Heinicke has become the starting QB since Week 7, McLaurin has seen at least eight targets in every game and has caught at least four balls with a minimum of 53 yards receiving. He is facing an Atlanta Falcons defense that is giving up the second most PPR points per game to opposing WRs overall and the fourth most to perimeter WRs. McLaurin takes about 75% of his snaps out wide and even for the 25% he takes in the slot, the Falcons still suck, giving up the fourth most PPR PPG to the slot as well. If Carson Wentz is forced back into the starting role, I would pivot to Curtis Samuel. Otherwise, with Heinicke, he gets the ball into the best players on his offense and that includes McLaurin. It is worth noting that on the side of position regression, McLaurin hasn’t scored a TD since Week 7 and is long overdue to hit paydirt. 

Davante Adams (Las Vegas Raiders – $8,600/$9,000)

The Seahawks have been a good pass defense overall this year. They have given up the eighth fewest PPR points to opposing WRs on a per game basis this year. This is due mainly to a few things, including game scripts for the Seahawks, an inability to cover opposing TEs and the fact they knocked it out of the park with their rookie draft this year and appear to have two long-time starters in Tariq Woolen and Coby Bryant. However, they haven’t faced Davante Adams yet this year. Adams is on a tear in his last three games. He has slate breaking scores of 36.6, 27.6, and 33.1. The crazy thing is that he has even left some points on the table. This game is my favorite to stack this week and you can attack it a few different ways and using Adams is one of them. 

Brandon Cooks (Houston Texans – $5,200/$6,400)

Cooks is due for an eruption spot and this game could be that spot. Cooks is going to have a new QB throwing him the ball in Kyle Allen. Over Allen’s career with the Commanders and Panthers, has shown the willingness to pepper his best offensive weapons. With how unhappy Cooks has been, this is a perfect spot for Allen to earn the trust of his best WR and for the coaching staff to get back into the good graces of one of their best assets. The Dolphins have the ninth worst DVOA against teams opposing WR1s while giving up 12th most PPR points per game to opposing perimeter WRs, where Cooks plays 73% of his snaps. I also project the Texans to have no choice but to be throwing the ball at a high clip and early on as they are 14-point underdogs in Miami against the Dolphins who, as I’ve mentioned, are coming off of their bye.

Deebo Samuel (San Francisco 49ers – $6,800/$6,900)

The New Orleans Saints are still having a hard time stopping opposing teams WRs. They are specifically having issues with their WR1s, which is what Deebo Samuel still is for the 49ers. The 49ers enter this game as 8.5-point favorites, so that should keep Deebo’s ownership in check. However, they just faced the Arizona Cardinals as 10-point favorites and managed to throw the ball 29 times with Deebo seeing nine of those targets. Deebo has seen at least six touches in every game this season except for one. He is a wizard with the ball in his hands and he has an elite matchup in the air. Without having a receiving TD since Week 5, he is also due for positive regression in that area while Aiyuk is due regression back to the norm. I’ll take the big playmaking ability of Deebo at his discounted price on both sites all day long.

Honorable Mention: Tyler Lockett (SEA), Keenan Allen (LAC)

Value Play

Greg Dortch (Arizona Cardinals – $3,100/$4,900)

If Rondale Moore can’t go on Sunday against the Chargers, insert Greg Dortch. When Moore misses, Dortch sees the majority of the slot snaps for the Cardinals. He put up PPR points of 13.3, 15.5, and 17 weeks 1-3 before giving way back to Moore; he saw 23 targets over that three-game span. Last week on MNF, Moore went down early and Dortch ended up seeing 10 targets and caught nine of them for 103 scoreless yards. That volume is impossible to ignore at his price tag on both sites. If you need salary relief and Rondale Moore misses, look no further than Greg Dortch. UPDATE 11/27 @ 8:45am: Greg Dortch is OUT. This is a bump up to Deandre Hopkins who will play more in the slot this week. Slight bump up to Hollywood Brown. I can’t strongly recommend anyone under Cooks at $6,400 on Fanduel. If you want an off the wall, pure flier, I would go with Elijah Moore (NYJ) at $5,300. On Draftkings, Desean Jackson (BAL) is a solid dart throw at $3,000 and so is Skyy Moore (KC) at the same price, $3,000.


Gerald Everett (LA Chargers – $4,400/$5,200)

Rinse and repeat lining up TEs against the Arizona Cardinals. They have been toasted for the most fantasy points by opposing TEs so far this year by almost two full PPR points. Keep an eye out for Gerald Everett throughout the week to make sure he is good to go on Sunday against the Cards. As I am writing this article on Friday, Everett has not had any setbacks and appears to be good to go Sunday. It is worth bringing up that this was the case last week and he randomly popped back up on Saturday and then sat on Sunday so keep an eye on it as we get closer to lock.

Foster Moreau (Las Vegas Raiders – $3,400/$5,400)

As I’ve mentioned many times, the Seahawks are bad against opposing TEs so far this year. They somewhat sell out for opposing WRs and leave themselves vulnerable to opposing TEs. They still give up the fourth most points to opposing TEs with 14.7 per game. Foster Moreau is seeing nearly every snap with a near 100% snap share over the last month of the season. As I’ve mentioned a few times in this article, this game is my favorite stack and has the 2nd highest game total on the slate. Moreau is certainly in play in any of the stacks you make, regardless who the QB is.

Honorable Mentions: Tyler Higbee (LAR),  Mike Gesicki (MIA)

Value Play

Noah Fant (Seattle Seahawks – $3,200/$5,100)

Noah Fant is set up nicely against the Las Vegas Raiders. Fant is unlikely to get a ton of volume, I doubt he exceeds six targets, but those six targets will be high quality. The Raiders defense is beatable through the middle of the field and they have given up the fourth most receiving TDs to opposing TEs. Overall they have given up the fifth most points to the position per game.


New York Jets ($3,300/$5,000)

The New York Jets are facing the Chicago Bears at home this week in what they hope to be a “get right” spot with a win. If they’re going to do that, it is going to be with their borderline elite defense. Over the last four games, Justin Fields and the Chicago Bears have allowed 13 sacks while allowing a defensive score in every one of those four games. The Jets are sixth in the NFL with 32 sacks and fourth in the NFL with a 24.9% pressure rate. Justin Fields is hobbled with a left, non-throwing, shoulder injury but I don’t care who starts at QB. Fields has below average pocket awareness and is prone to turnovers. It does appear Fields is trending towards not playing but I’ll confidently fire up the Jets on either site regardless who is the QB. 

Kansas City Chiefs ($2,800/$4,900)

In Week 11, the Rams lost Matthew Stafford for what is projected to be an extended period of time. This means that either Bryce Perkins or newly signed Case Cookus (USFL people know!) is going to be the man under center for the Rams. Not only is the Rams offensive line the worst in the NFL, they will have a guy throwing the ball who has no business being in the NFL. The Rams gave up only four sacks to the Saints last week but the Chiefs are right next to the Saints in the pressure department. The Chiefs have a much better offense to put more pressure on the Rams QB and for more of the game. The Chiefs offer a great floor and ceiling in this matchup. On Draftkings, the Chiefs are going to approach 50%+ ownership due to their ignorant pricing. The Jets are going to be sub 20% so keep that in mind while setting your lineups. 

Value Play

Denver Broncos ($3,800/$3,900)

Honestly, with the way the slate is set up this week I’m going to recommend either eating the chalk with the Chiefs or playing the Jets. However, if you want a cheaper option on Fanduel, I would suggest the Denver Broncos. The Broncos are visiting the Carolina Panthers who will be starting Sam Darnold at QB. I know I’ve expressed my joy for this because it does mean good things for DJ Moore but overall, Darnold sucks. He turns the ball over at a high rate and eats sacks left and right due to his indecision. The Broncos have the best pass defense in the NFL so if the Panthers can’t establish the run, Darnold is in for a long day. This game also carries a low 36.5 game total and, honestly, it’s still too high. 

Author: Sanaynay

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