I stand by my last assessment that this series will be filled with goals and Jeremy Swayman will not shut down Florida. I am going back to the well tonight but playing the full game instead of the Panthers specifically. Lay the juice to get the game over at 5 and hit 4.5 again live when it gets there if you believe.
Official Plays:
- Florida/Boston over 5 -185: 5u
- Florida/Boston over 7 +285: 1u
- Correct Scores:
- Play both sides of these scores like we did yesterday with the 4-3 Colorado/Dallas game. How I play these correct scores is by targeting the specific scores I expect to hit and then playing one goal up and one goal down to factor in the empty nets. I see this game being s 4-3/5-2 final, so I am adding the 5-3 in between but also playing 6-2/6-3, factoring in empty nets and the long shot odds as value.
- 4-3
- Florida Wins +1350- .25u
- Boston Wins +1650- .25u
- 5-3
- Florida Wins +3300- .25u
- Boston Wins +6600- .25u
- 5-2
- Florida Wins +1850- .25u
- Boston Wins +2800- .25u
- 6-2
- Florida Wins +3000- .25u
- Boston Wins +8000- .25u
- 6-3
- 5-2
- Florida Wins +4000- .25u
- Boston Wins +5000- .25u
- 5-2
- 4-3
- Play both sides of these scores like we did yesterday with the 4-3 Colorado/Dallas game. How I play these correct scores is by targeting the specific scores I expect to hit and then playing one goal up and one goal down to factor in the empty nets. I see this game being s 4-3/5-2 final, so I am adding the 5-3 in between but also playing 6-2/6-3, factoring in empty nets and the long shot odds as value.
- Once this game kicks off I will put out the Edmonton/Vancouver plays. I don’t see a full breakdown coming because in my original bracket I had Vancouver winning this series. That was based on Thatcher Demko starting and finishing the series. If Casey DeSmith was in we would be loading up on Edmonton. I will be playing the over 5.5 games in the series and you can lock that in now for 3-5u. What I need to see is how I will be playing this game by game after screening game 1. Vancouver absolutely had their way with Edmonton during the regular season but the first two wins Vancouver had came in games one and two of the season before Edmonton made their coaching changes. They played three times in the first month outscoring them 18-6 in those three games before winning 3-1 in their last meeting towards the end of the season.
- Vancouver/Edmonton over 5.5 games -165
