Good morning,
The slate kicks off at 12:30 with Boston and L.A. I love this spot for Boston coming off another loss to Seattle. We are going to have a lot to play today, so spacing out how and when you put the plays in is very constructive. David Rittich is expected to start for L.A. and that should boost Boston’s offense at home. Boston needs a win today and an early start with an out of conference cross country matchup (albeit L.A. is coming from NJ), I’m jumping on Boston. The interesting thing here is that Boston’s team total is currently at 2.5 -200. Here’s a spot where if you can’t play live I suggest grabbing it pre-game.. If you can grab live, wait a few minutes for the line to drop to the -160 range and hit it for 3u. I also think Boston wins today so I will be hitting the ML for 1u. L.A. has been all over the place and their matchup against the Devils gave me more confidence in them still not being right. The loss for the Devils Thursday night looked more as a game the Devils lost than L.A. won. Granted, L.A. did a great job holding on at the end, but I don’t see that play carrying over into a win on the road in Boston.
Edmonton and Dallas is a tough matchup for me. Again, Edmonton hurt us on the team total, but we limited our losses as a 1.5u play. Calvin Pickard is in net for Edmonton and I always love targeting him. Dallas is that team that has had a hard time consistently showing they are a powerhouse and this is a matchup where they can outplay themselves and lose, especially coming off a nine goal performance against Nashville. I am going to play Dallas here thinking this game has a lot of goals. The game total is 6.5 and it’s already juiced to -135 so what I want to do here is play the game total, and Dallas’ team total. I do expect both teams to put up three each today and I lean towards Dallas based on the goaltending matchup, but I lean Edmonton based on Dallas not being able to consistently win big games so I will be laying off a side.
Chicago has won the last 10 meetings with the Senators so I am surprised to see the line open up at -200. It’s a little steep for the history and it’s pulling me away. I do believe Ottawa wins this game today. This is definitely a situation where I want to hit the game live. Ottawa’s team total is three pregame but -190. If you can’t hit live, I would play this based on your bankroll. If you have room in your bankroll to play the 3 at -190 I would for 1-2 units. If you don’t, you can play 3.5 for 1u or less. If you are able to play live, I recommend Ottawa’s team total of 3 at -160. I do expect to see some scoring in this game, potentially a 4-2 / 5-2 game and getting the over at 5.5 is in play. It is important for you to read these articles because there are three different plays in this game that can be made that can be specific to your book, your bankroll, and your own analysis.
Detroit vs Calgary is a game I like the dog in. Calgary is a team hard to read right now. They’ve traded one of their top players in Elias Lindholm and he has two two goal games in six games with Vancouver. Calgary has been very streaky and I think their losing streak continues against Detroit. I don’t like betting against James Reimer, and with Detroit giving up 12 goals in their last two games, their defense needs to step up and slow this game down.
Buffalo and Minnesota are two teams that have not done well for us. Minnesota is the better team but I want no part of this. Nashville vs St. Louis is a game that is a game that should go over. The two have high scoring games and Nashville is coming off an embarrassing loss to Dallas. The lines are too low in my opinion in this matchup and I will be riding Nashville. I don’t plan on touching the next two games between Florida and Tampa Bay and Washington and Montreal. Toronto going against Anaheim at home excites me but it will cost us to play it. This is a matchup where Toronto is by far the superior team and will win 9 out of 10 times, you just have to hope they show up and execute. This matchup is a make the play and ride it out. There isn’t much analysis here that is going to pull me off Toronto.
Philly/NJ is a division matchup I will be staying away from. New Jersey should rebound, but the injuries is why I stayed off them against L.A. and should be a concern tonight. I don’t hate the idea of playing NJ to win, and they could be a round robin or 1u ML play.
Winnipeg and Vancouver is an elite Western Conference matchup that I won’t make a play on until starting goaltenders are determined. If Hellebuyck and Demko start then I won’t be playing. Winnipeg is my lean but the biggest note here is that Winnipeg has scored 2 or fewer goals in 10 of their last 11 games. They have five losses in between two wins over their last nine games. I like Winnipeg to rebound against Vancouver especially with their team total coming it at only 2.5. Winnipeg won their last three matchups last season scoring four or more in each game.
Official Plays:
- 12:30pm Boston Team Total 2.5 -160 range: 3u
- 12:30pm Boston ML -155: 1u
- 3:08pm Edmonton/Columbus over 6.5 -140: 2u
- 3:08pm Ottawa Team Total over 3 -160 range: 3u
- 3:08pm Ottawa/Columbus over 5.5 -150: 2.5u
- 3:08pm Ottawa Correct Score 4-2 +2000: .25u
- 3:08pm Ottawa Correct Score 5-2 +1500: .25u
- 3:08pm Ottawa Correct Score 5-3 +2800: .25u
- 4:08pm Detroit ML +110: 1u
- 4:08pm Detroit Team Total over 2.5 -140 range: 1u
- 5:08pm Nashville Team Total over 2.5 -150 range: 2.5u
- 5:08pm Nashville/St. Louis over 5.5 -150: 2.5u
- 7:08pm Toronto Team Total over 3.5 -165: 3u
- 10:08pm Winnipeg Team Total over 2.5 -145: 2u
- 10:38pm Columbus Team Total over 3 -145: 2.5u
- 12:30pm .5u Round Robin 4×3 1×4
- Boston ML
- New Jersey ML
- Nashville ML
- Columbus ML
- 2.5 to win 13.9
