Gameflows

Tuesday 1/16 Update & Slate Breakdown

Good morning everyone… I am just going to dive in here and really open the floor up to you all with how things have been going these past few weeks… We all know that sports and what we do here is second to everything going on in life, and I am not providing you all with what you expect out of me and Gameflows. For the past three years I have put every ounce of time and effort into another company. There have been no days off, no vacations, no breaks. Life has hit me hard these past few months.Very hard. I need some time away from chat and to handle some personal health issues not only for myself, but for the pregnancy my gf and I are going through. My time these past few weeks has been spent in doctors offices, and dealing with custody and the results here are showing it. Noone’s subscriptions are set to renew in January as I’ve told you. I am working with tech on some changes to the website. I need to take some time away from being in chat so I can focus on my health and my significant other’s health, and taking care of my daughter. The content I provide will be up to expectations. I will be providing any and every scenario in matchups and what to look for. I will have a system set up so that when plays get posted to the article chat will be alerted. While I may not be in chat for a while, I will also be working with tech to develop a way to answer any questions you may have regarding plays and content. If I do not take this break to get myself healthy, and back focused on the sport, the results will not get better. You all know I take care of you first, so I will do anything and everything I need to make sure you are all taken care of. This is the first time in four years I am putting my health first, and doing so will fix the issues I’ve been having with plays. Please keep in mind as well, that while NHL is my main sport, playing NFL and MLB are sports I have always played. Sanaynay is here for Fantasy Football and football betting, but that doesn’t also mean I won’t be making plays on NFL as well. Taking this break is what we need for results to improve and it will. You all have stuck with me for years, and this is the time I need to take care of myself. With that being said, let’s discuss tonight’s slate and what to expect…

Seattle vs. New York Rangers:

Seattle has been one of the hottest teams in the league over the past month winning 11 of their past 13 matchups. Their schedule has been a factor of that. Seattle has beaten up on non playoff teams with their two big wins coming against Vegas and Los Angeles who have really struggled this past month. The Kraken are in the middle of a six game road trip and were shut out by the Penguins yesterday. Joey Daccord has been the major player for the Kraken putting up a 1.72 GAA over since December 2nd. Matty Beniers went down with an injury Saturday and will be out for the foreseeable future. With Beniers now out, Seattle on a back to back, Chris Dreiger set to start the second half of their back to back, I don’t see the Kraken winning tonight. Dreidger has made one start this season three weeks ago and will be facing a Rangers team who had lost five of six games before rebounding against Washington on their home and home with Washington. Igor Shesterkin gets the start tonight, but with a ML of -225, the Rangers ML is nothing more than a parlay piece.There are two plays I see fit in this matchup. Taking the Rangers on the puck line -1.5 is a viable option. The Rangers have won four of their five career matchups against Seattle, and have scored three or more goals in four of those five matchups. With Beniers out, and Burakovsky banged up and possibly not suited up for tonight, scoring should be difficult for the Kraken. This is a matchup where a final score of 3-1, 4-2, 4-1 is in play. The Rangers need a rebound win tonight to get their offense back on track. The second play I like is the Rangers team total. The line of 3 comes in heavily juiced at -190 and the 3.5 total comes in at 3.5. There’s two ways to play this… if you have the time and ability to track live, I would give the game a few minutes and jump on the live line of 3 in the -150 range. If you can’t, the 3.5 is in play. My biggest concern tonight is Chris Dreidger. Making only his second start could either blow up in his face, or lock him in. In his only start of the season, two and a half months in, he limited the Flames to one goal on 38 shots. Driedger was a big acquisition for Seattle in their expansion draft, plucking him from Florida, but he missed all of the ‘22-’23 season with an ACL injury. At the lowest, I see the Rangers having their third team goal late in the third leaving us with an empty net situation at worst to get us to four.

Colorado vs. Ottawa Senators:

Colorado lost to Montreal yesterday blowing two leads. After tying the game midway through the third, Joel Armia doinked in a loose puck in a clusterfuck in front of the net. The Avs are playing good, consistent hockey right now. The loss to the Canadiens yesterday likens my expectations on them today. The Avs have scored three or more goals in 11 of the past 12 games and they are second best in the league averaging 3.66 goals per game. Ottawa comes into this matchup third worst in the league in goals against averaging 3.68 goals against per game. Mads Sogaard gets the start for the Senators tonight and it will be his season debut. Outside of a three game run last season against Boston, Tampa Bay, and Florida, his numbers were pretty terrible. This line should not be -120 for the Avs and only is because Ivan Prosvetov is slated to get  the start after Alex Georgiev went yesterday. The chalk play here is the over, and laddering it with both goaltenders confirmed and expected to start. Provetsov last played against our live smash in the Florida game 10 days ago. What surprises me about tonight’s lines is that Colorado’s team total is being offered at 3 for -175. Here is a situation where if you’re able to book watch and be present for the start of the games, waiting for this line to drop to 150 or better right after puck drop should be a smash play. If we were in a better bankroll situation we would jump on it from the start, but if we’re being conscious and have the time to lock it, hitting it live is the best bet. Colorado has scored four or more goals against the Senators in seven of their last nine meetings and have dominated the series 7-2 over those nine games. This game should see fireworks and is a game you want to target and hit live. 

Anaheim Ducks vs. Washington Capitals:

This will be the third game for Washington in the past four days and Darcy Keumper gets the start for the Caps. This game is too volatile for me. This matchup could see four goals or seven. Darcy Keumper has had a tough season and was left out of the home and home matchup with the Rangers. Charlie Lindgren played great in those games giving Keumper a better matchup against a much weaker opponent in Anaheim. WIth Washington being home, I expect Keumper to have a better performance than he did against Anaheim earlier in the year when he gave up four goals. John Gibson gave up five goals that game but Lukas Dostal should be in net in tonight’s matchup. Anaheim is coming off a come from behind victory against the Panthers in overtime. Washington’s ML is -185 and their team total of 3 is the same. I don’t find value in any of these lines. If you’re looking for an unlikely total, it could hit here, I don’t believe so. I am staying off this game unless there are multiple early goals and can jump on it live.

Los Angeles Kings vs. Dallas Stars:

The Kings are reeling right now, picking up their first win in the past nine games. Cam Talbot gets the start and I do not like his chances. Talbot is 4-7-1 in 13 games against Dallas with a 3.63 GAA.. Los Angeles is on a back to back after picking up a solid win in Carolina on Sunday. I am riding the Dallas team I have been high on all season. Their moneyline is -135 and their team total of three is -145 and I will be playing both. This is a matchup between two top teams in the West who are on opposite ends of the spectrum right now in terms of recent performance. I am expecting Dallas to lock this game down and get to Talbot early. If their team total drops to 2.5 at any point in this game it’s a play worth jumping on live and doubling down on. 

New York Islanders vs. Winnipeg Jets:

If you look at this matchup from overhead, you would expect Winnipeg to run through the Islanders. Winnipeg is a top team in the league right now and miles ahead of the Islanders in terms of production. Winnipeg is the top team in the league in goals against playing at home against a team averaging less than three goals per game. The Isles are also without Semyon Varlamov leaving the net open for a potential start by Ken Appleby. The history between these two teams is shocking, as the Isles have won the past seven matchups with two shutouts, and three one goal performances in that time. I do not expect that to continue here, but I am not paying the price to be on the Winnipeg side. If you want to get some + money odds here, I would take Winnipeg on the puckline -1.5 +120, and ladder their team total to get 4 or more. If Appleby starts, it could be VERY ugly for the Isles if this game stays away from the unlikely trend.

San Jose Sharks vs. Chicago Blackhawks:

There are too many injuries in this matchup, but both teams are so bad this game could see nine goals. Both teams have done damage to us, but the one thing I need to say is, we need to stop fearing teams because of recency bias. Knowing you all don’t like targeting or playing against certain teams makes posting plays I genuinely trust tough. The influence of a reaction from paying customers tough to put certain plays out. It becomes a battle of playing the plays you trust versus losing paying customers who make this company run. Tonight, I don’t like the matchup and will be staying away. In the future, I will be posting what I see and feel is best for our plays to win. 

Arizona Coyotes vs. Calgary Flames:

This matchup is one of the more lucrative matchups in terms of recency and trends. The Flames have dominated the Coyotes on the scoresheet posting three or more goals in the past nine matchups winning eight of them. Connor Ingram gets the start after seeing Karel Vejmelka give up four goals on twelve shots in just under 14 minutes five days ago. Ingram still gave up two goals in relief in the third period. This is a game where laying the juice could be a trap, but we won 3u in the last matchup and I want to ride the train. The team total of 3 comes in at -175 and if you are able to wait for live like the other games you can. Calgary has been playing very well over the past month, and have been trending on winning three in a row, then losing two. If that trend continues tonight, the Flames are slated to lose. If that scares you, this may be the trap game of the night and you should stay off. If that does not, and you are confident in the Flames ability to continue their dominance over the Coyotes, this is a game I want to be on. Puck drop isn’t until 9pm, so seeing how the earlier plays go with Colorado and the Rangers could allow you to either scale into this game or lay off. 

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Edmonton Oilers:

Until Edmonton gets their offense together, which could be here, I am staying off. We have lost too much on them this past week seeing them put up duds against Detroit, Montreal, Chicago, and Ottawa. Four games the Oilers should have scored 5 or more to see them score two or less in regulation in three of their past four games, and the third goal against Ottawa coming on the power play with less than three minutes left in the game. If we’re looking at traps, this game should go to the moon after how piss poor Edmonton has played in their past four games. The other concern I have is that Edmonton is on a 10 game winning streak, so the lack of offense could be due to them tiring out being that 9 of their past 11 games have been on the road.

Official Plays:
7pm Colorado Team Total over 3 -175: 3u (hit live if you can -150 or lower)
7pm NY Rangers Team Total over 3.5 -115: 2u (hit 3 live if you can -150 or lower)
8pm Winnipeg Team Total over 4 +155: 2u
8pm Winnipeg Team Total over 5 +400: 1.5u
8pm Dallas Stars ML -130 1u
8pm Dallas Stars Team Total over 3 -145: 2u
9pm Calgary Flames Team Total over 3 -175: 3u (hit live if you can -150 or lower)
9pm Calgary Flames Team Total over 4 +150: 1u
9pm Calgary Flames Team Total over 5 +360: 1u

Nightghost
Author: Nightghost

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