I am going to be removing the “droppable” section for the remainder of the season.
At this point, everyone being dropped and moved around is subjective to the specific league times and situations we are each in. We are in the middle of the season, so this next month is going to be different from the first few months and the final championship weeks will be even more unique. If you have questions, ask me in chat.
Upcoming Bye Weeks
Week 11: JAX, TB, SEA, MIA
Week 12: NONE
Week 13: ARI, CAR
Week 14: ATL, CHI, GB, IND, WAS, NO
Marcus Mariota (Atlanta Falcons) – 1%
If you missed out on Justin Fields and are still upset, Mariota is a solid option this week. The floor he presents with his rushing abilities is now well documented, and in week 11 he will oppose the Chicago Bears at home after a mini-bye week. If Mariota can continue to connect on the intermediate throws of 15 yards to 20 yards, he should surpass 200 passing yards, giving him an increased chance of multiple TDs to pair with a 4-6 point rushing floor. It helps that the Chicago Bears are averaging 31 points over their last four games, as that should push the Atlanta Falcons to take a few more shots than usual.
Taylor Heinicke (Washington Commanders) – 0%
Things are tough this week for the QB position. Heinicke gets the Houston Texans in Week 11 and has played consistent football since taking over as the Commanders starter. He has averaged 13.9 PPG and has at least 13.66 PPG in three of the four games he’s played. He won’t dominate, but he will get you to Week 12 where hopefully things open up a bit for QBs.
Note: As of right now, with Heinicke winning in Philadelphia, it seems like he will keep the starting gig. If the Commanders do decide to go with Wentz, I would slide Wentz into this slot and I actually do like him a little bit more for fantasy purposes. The Texans defense is bad and Wentz can take advantage down the field more so than Heinicke can.
Deshaun Watson (Cleveland Browns) – 0%
We’re getting closer and closer to his return. For some of you, I know he can’t return fast enough. If you missed out on the Fields sweepstakes, you need to stash Watson.
Rachaad White (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) – 50%
White actually got the start over Fournette in this game, but that was just semantics. Leonard Fournette actually sustained an injury that kept him out the last half of the game. White played more than double the snaps than Fournette and took 50% of the team’s carries. White finished with 22 carries for 105 scoreless yards and ironically this was only his second game of the season where he didnt’ see a target. Luckily for Fournette, the Bucs are getting their bye week this week so he has an extra week to rest up. Even when they return to the field in Week 12 against the Browns, this should be an even split, hot hand approach. By the end of the season, White should be getting about 60% to 65% of the snaps.
Elijah Mitchell (San Francisco 49ers) – 21%
It seems that the 49ers are going to move forward with a committee backfield. CMC’s air work should be sustainable, giving him the great floor we know and love. But Mitchell is likely going to see 10-15 carries in positive game scripts for the 49ers. On top of having some .5 PPR and standard league FLEX appeal, Mitchell is a premium handcuff to CMC. He is available only in 40% of leagues, but certainly worth an add if he’s there.
Isaiah Pacheco (Kansas City Chiefs) – 10%
For the first time all season, Pacheco led the Kansas City Chiefs backfield in both snaps and carries. He was on the field for 55.6% of the offensive snaps and saw 59.3% of the team’s offensive carries. Clyde Edwards-Helaire saw only four of the snaps. Pacheco turned his 16 carries into 82 scoreless yards. Going forward, this is looking like a two-back committee with Pacheco shaping up a ton of work on the ground in positive game scripts and McKinnon getting more work in high leverage plays where the Chiefs are behind or are in a fast pace to score. If that is how it sticks, both McKinnon and Pacheco are weekly starters and we can have a better idea how to predict their snap share for DFS purposes.In Week 11, the Chiefs visit the LA Chargers, one of the worst run defenses in the NFL. I expect the Chiefs to be slight favorites and have a script that allows for Pacheco to see 50%+ of the snaps again and 15+ touches in a great matchup.
Jaylen Warren (Pittsburgh Steelers) – 8%
This is a similar situation as the one going on in Tampa Bay. Warren saw 42.9% of the snaps, a season high for him in Week 10. He saw only 20.9% of the carries, but Warren saw the ever important air work. Warren out targeted Harris three to one and Warren caught all three of his targets for 40 yards. Warren is entering FLEX worth territory as we round out these bye weeks over the next month with a floor of about 5-6 points through the air itself, and an added 3-4 points on the ground with the chance he falls into the endzone for a bonus six. Put that all together and his immense ceiling if Harris (who has been battling nagging injuries all season) misses, Warren is a must add in season-long leagues if you haven’t already snagged him.
Tyler Allgeier (Atlanta Falcons) – 2%
It is clear that the Falcons are easing Patterson back into the fold and on a short week, Patterson saw only 24 (38.1%) snaps to Allgeier’s 30 (47.6%). I do expect this to be flipped, where going forward Patterson sees roughly half of the Falcons’ offensive snaps and Allgeier floats around 35% to 40% with Caleb Huntley and Avery Williams left with the scraps. This puts Allgeier right on the bubble of emergency FLEX viability with the high-quality handcuff situation if Patterson were to reinjure himself. He is coming off of a performance where he caught all three of his targets and managed to lose 17 yards on those receptions, basically negating the point per reception aspect of the game. He finished with only 3.3 PPR points, but before that he had at least 11 in each of his previous games and was averaging 13.93 over that stretch. I’m willing to chalk up Week 10 as a fluke given his random loss of 17 yards. Going forward, he should offer a floor of around 7-8 points and increase to 11-12 if Patterson were to be limited again.
Christian Watson (Green Bay Packers) – 50%
Watson is picking up right where Romeo Doubs left off when he was injured. Watson saw eight high-quality targets and pulled in four of them for 107 yards and three scores. Watson was out snapped only by Allen Lazard and he ended up playing 84.4% of the Packers offensive snaps. He was targeted on a designed 4th down and 7 when Lazard was on the field, which tells me Rodgers has some trust in Watson.It is also worth noting that Watson lost a deep ball in the sun and it is quite possible could have had another 50-yard TD to his stat line from yesterday. Going forward we have every reason to believe Watson will be Rodgers’ top target with Lazard and will see 6-8 high-quality targets a week.
Paris Campbell (Indianapolis Colts) – 10%
Over Campbell’s last three games played with QB Matt Ryan, he has averaged 20.76 PPR PPG and has seen almost 11 targets per game in those contests. Campbell has likely been thrown to the side in your leagues because Sam Ehlinger is an awful QB and the Colts offense looked left for dead once Frank Reich was fired. Well, to my surprise, this offense looked competent and actually solid on Sunday against the bad Raiders defense.They established consistency with Jonathan Taylor on the ground and it allowed Matt Ryan to be efficient. Expecting 11 targets a game going forward may be lofty, but Campbell is an every week starter and should see about 8 targets per game and score 12+ PPR points per game.
Kadarius Toney (Kansas City Chiefs) – 5%
You may be a little surprised Toney isn’t first on this list, but I’m approaching Toney still with a little hesitation.The Chiefs were without two of their top three WR options for most of the game in this one. Mecole Hardman missed the game and Juju Smith-Schuster played only 38.1% of the snaps before he went down with a concussion. Toney ended up playing 44.4% of the snaps and earned five targets. He caught four of them for 57 yards and a score while adding another 33 yards on two rushing attempts. It is clear the Chiefs like Toney and his athleticism with the ball in his hands but I do think we’re a little capped here once everyone is healthy. He is a fine addition, but I do think we should temper expectations for the rest of the season unless there is a serious injury in front of him.
Treylon Burks (Tennessee Titans) – 5%
Burks made his return to the line in Week 10 and I thought it was a promising one. Anyone who has been around here since August knows that I’m not a Burks fan, but his usage was what we want to see from the rookie. He played on 56.5% of the team’s snaps and saw six targets. Burks should be viewed as more of a gadget player rather than a pure route runner who is going to go out there and run crisp routes. That’s not him and it likely never will be him. But six opportunities right away in his return, pulling in three of them for 24 scoreless yards is promising against a top pass defense. Going forward, if we see about 70% snap participation and 6-7 targets with a carry or two mixed in, I think Burks can be useful down the stretch.
Devin Duvernay (Baltimore Ravens) – 0%
Duvernay is the stand alone WR for the Ravens with any fantasy value.He has games with questionable distribution of targets, as he saw only one target in the Ravens Week 9 win over the Saints. Before that he saw an average of almost five targets per game. These five targets are usually high quality targets around the red zone and he will have a few carries mixed in there. I do think the Ravens run the ball more to end the year, but expect the offense to try and mirror what the Ravens did in 2019. Lamar was throwing TDs at an insane clip and I could certainly see that playing out where Duvernay catches 3-4 balls a game but averages almost a score a game with it. The WR pool is thin this year so we’re finding value where we can.It is worth noting that the Ravens have one of the easiest schedules to end the year. They will face CAR, JAX, DEN, PIT, CLE, ATL, PIT, and CIN to ride their year out and they’ve already had their bye week.
Jarvis Landry (New Orleans Saints) – 0%
Landry surprisingly paced the Saints WR group in Week 9. He ran the most routes and saw the most targets with six. He pulled in only three of them for 37 scoreless yards but it was a very promising return for Landry. If you’re in a full PPR league, Landry gives a great fill-in floor of 6-10 points to get you by until you have reinforcements return.
Foster Moreau (Las Vegas Raiders) – 7%
Darren Waller was put on the IR so Moreau has the tight end role. Moreau was a dropped TD on the second to last play away from breaking out with 4/60/2 but instead he settled for 3/43/1 on four targets. He has seen at least four targets in each of his last four games without Waller. The volume is there for Moreau who is on an offense that is projected to be losing most games. He should be viewed as a weekly back end TE1 or top end TE2 for the remainder of the season. Remaining opponents: DEN, SEA, LAC, LAR, NE, PIT, SF, KC.
Cole Kmet (Chicago Bears) – 1%
Kmet saw his highest target count in Week 10’s loss to the Lions with seven. He pulled in four of them for 74 yards and two scores, including a 50 yarder in the second half. He has now seen 13 targets in his last two games and is emerging as a consistent target for Fields. Kmet gets another great matchup in Week 11 against the Atlanta Falcons so Kmet should be viewed higher than Moreau for Week 11 but below him for the remainder of the season. After Kmet gets Atlanta in Week 11, he has to face the NYJ, GB, PHI, and BUF before DET to end the fantasy football season. That is a gauntlet and I expect him to come back down to earth and be cuttable after the NYJ game. If you are streaming TEs, make an alarm to go after Kmet in Week 15 and stay ahead of the market so you have him for his rematch against the Lions in Week 17.
Cade Otton (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) – 0%
Otton was able to pull in all three of his targets in Week 10 for 35 scoreless yards. He has now seen at least three targets in every game since Week 4. The reason Otton isn’t higher on this list is because Cameron Brate returned in this matchup and took two targets away from Otton. I expect Otton to see 3-5 targets a game going forward and is someone you can toss in if you have no one else but I’d rather go with the above guys when possible.
New Orleans Saints – 0%
The Saints defense is playing “OK” football right now but they get to face the LA Rams at home this week. The Rams should be getting their QB, Matthew Stafford, back after he missed Week 10 with a concussion, but they will likely be without star WR Cooper Kupp. The Rams offense has been awful all year long and the Cardinals were able to accrue three sacks and force two turnovers with 12 QB hits. I look for the Rams to run into similar issues in Week 11 against the Saints.
Washington Commanders – 0%
The Commanders visit the Houston Texans in Week 11 after coming off of a bye. When the options are slim, I like to pick on bad offenses and the fact that the Commanders are coming off of a bye and the Texans are unfamiliar with the Commanders defense are cherries on top. The Texans Week 10 opponent, the New York Giants, were able to get to Davis Mills four times while forcing two turnovers. It is becoming clear that Davis Mills is not a starting QB in the NFL and is likely a career backup. I’ll continue to attack him the rest of the year.
Minnesota Vikings – 0%
The Vikings are coming off of the top DST performance of Week 10. They forced four turnovers from Josh Allen and sacked him twice with a defensive score to boot. Dak Prescott has not been able to keep his turnovers down recently and continued that last week as he threw two picks to the Green Bay Packers. The Vikings are unlikely to get another defensive score here but they should be able to get 2-3 sacks with a few turnovers and offer a solid floor.